The Case for Change

Hydrogen has global and regional momentum to decarbonize hard-to-abate sectors and presents an opportunity to complement existing decarbonization efforts within the DMV region. 

Hydrogen is an essential tool for achieving climate objectives and economic goals established by governments and industry.

Experts widely recognize hydrogen as an essential part of a broad portfolio of clean energy solutions required to limit temperature increases to below the 2050 1.5°C or 2°C scenarios identified as needed to stabilize rising global temperatures. To that end, the International Energy Agency (IEA) identifies hydrogen as a key pillar of decarbonization in its Net-Zero by 2050 analysis.³ Hydrogen can address some of the largest sources of emissions, decarbonize hard-to-abate sectors, and support increased renewable energy production by acting as a long-term energy storage medium. While renewable power and electrification are helpful for near-term decarbonization efforts, hydrogen must play a critical role alongside systemic efficiency and carbon capture applications to achieve deep decarbonization and net-zero targets. Analysis by the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) shows that hydrogen will make up 10% of the world energy mix by 2050 and is one of the vital components of the energy transition strategy necessary to achieve the Paris Agreement goals.

Even countries that have not traditionally traded energy are establishing bilateral agreements for hydrogen, and IRENA estimates that by 2050, over 30% of hydrogen will be traded across borders. The increase in trade and investment in hydrogen markets is disrupting a fossil fuel-dominated industry currently valued at $178 billion.

 

World Economic Forum: Pathways to Decarbonization When Developing Industrial Clusters

  • Use produced H2 as an alternative fuel for hard-to-electrify end uses

  • Integrate processes within a cluster to share energy and material streams

  • Use captured carbon for industrial and manufacturing processes

  • Integrate processes within a cluster to share energy and material streams

 

Race to Zero Global Campaign Participants

 

Global Momentum is Quickly Growing

Net-zero commitments are at an all-time high. The Climate Ambition Alliance, which is backed by the United Nations (UN), estimates that 1,000+ higher education institutions, 1,000+ cities, 65+ regions, 5,000+ businesses, and 440+ of the most prominent investors have joined the Race to Zero global campaign focused on reducing global emissions by 50% by 2030.”⁷ This campaign is complemented by 120 countries committed to achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. Collectively, these players represent nearly 25% of global CO₂ emissions and over 50% of GDP.

Countries increasingly employ multiple technologies to achieve these aggressive goals across different use cases and applications, including hydrogen, which complements electrification, carbon capture, and energy efficiency technologies. With over 500 hydrogen projects announced globally, increased momentum is helping bridge the gap between today and a net-zero future. Globally, over 25 countries have introduced national hydrogen plans as parts of their more extensive decarbonization strategies, and many more are working to develop a national vision. Almost half of the progress associated with hydrogen is in Europe, where there has been regulatory support and substantial research and development investment. The EU expects to complete the first phase of its Hydrogen Strategy in 2024, installing 6 gigawatts of electrolysis and producing 1 million MT of green hydrogen. The second phase of the strategy will include the deployment of at least 40 gigawatts, producing up to 10 million MTs of hydrogen by 2030.⁸ Globally, companies are planning hydrogen projects amounting to $460 billion in investments across the hydrogen value chain through 2030, with most of the funds going toward renewable and low-carbon hydrogen production.⁹

The international economy is embracing hydrogen and is attracting investment, driving innovation, and stimulating jobs and commercial activity. Recognizing the value of the opportunity - and the cost of missing the opportunity - federal and state governments in the United States are putting money and resources to work, joining the growing domestic commercial and industrial activities.

 
The US Hydrogen Market is Accelerating Due to Federal & Private Sector Investment

The US Hydrogen Market is Accelerating Due to Federal & Private Sector Investment

As of late 2021, more than 67 companies have announced their involvement with hydrogen projects in North America.¹⁰ Across the United States, companies, academia, and state/local governments are forming partnerships to develop hydrogen hubs to support investment in targeted regions, as well as support the growth and development of the overall hydrogen economy. Los Angeles, Houston, Mississippi, New Mexico, West Virginia, and other regions have formed hydrogen hub organizations. These hubs are coalitions of multiple industry partners formed to develop a hydrogen infrastructure connecting different sectors with clean hydrogen to decarbonize the most extensive carbon-emitting sectors such as industrial processes and heavy-duty transport. These efforts to scale up hydrogen infrastructure and bring down the cost of producing clean hydrogen will support a market transformation to enable regions to achieve local and global decarbonization targets.

Clean hydrogen is a game changer. It will help decarbonize high-polluting heavy-duty and industrial sectors, while delivering good-paying clean energy jobs and realizing a net-zero economy by 2050.
— U.S. Department of Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm

The federal government has identified hydrogen as an essential investment area for decarbonizing the economy. The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) authorizes $9.5 billion for clean hydrogen research, development, and demonstration projects and calls for a national hydrogen strategy. This funding is a once-in-a-generation fiscal push to support reducing the cost associated with clean hydrogen.¹¹ Furthermore, the Hydrogen Shot Initiative launched by the Department of Energy (DOE) in 2021 aims to reduce the cost of clean hydrogen by 80% to $1 per kilogram by 2031, which is critical to attaining commercial viability of hydrogen energy solutions. These initiatives demonstrate that the federal government is taking action to reduce the cost significantly.¹²

The United States cannot afford to be left behind in the fast-growing global hydrogen market. The indirect costs of climate change and the potential economic uplift of this market are both too significant to ignore.

 
Richmond, Virginia skyline from above at sunset, everything awash in pink

The District, Maryland, and Virginia are Leading Decarbonization Efforts, Positioning the Region to Explore Deep Decarbonization Pathways, such as Hydrogen

The District, Maryland, and Virginia have significant momentum behind their efforts to address climate change.

Hydrogen complements the initiatives covered in the illustration below by addressing a sizeable portion of the largest sources of emissions in the region. As the DMV region addresses decarbonization challenges, implementing the necessary tools and techniques requires effective planning and coordination across many industries and stakeholders. The DMV region is making progress in addressing climate change through aggressive policies, such the Virginia Clean Economy Act, the Maryland Clean and Renewable Energy Standard (CARES), and the District’s Omnibus Bill, which requires Washington, D.C. to run on 100% Renewable Energy by 2032 and is the most ambitious energy law in the US.

The region must attract and recruit global hydrogen-related companies to the DMV. Participation in this trillion-dollar global opportunity will drive significant social, environmental, health, and financial benefits. And the DMV is uniquely positioned to take a leadership role to capture the greatest benefit for all its communities.

 
A headline that reads, "Current DMV Climate and Sustainability Commitments" to the left of a map of Washington, D.C., Virginia, and Maryland in navy blue, ocean blue, and sea-foam green against a pale blue background
    • Pledge to become carbon neutral and climate resilient by 2050¹³

    • Pledge to reduce emissions by 50% by 2032¹⁴

    • Goal of 30% of all new medium- and heavy-duty vehicle sales to be zero-emission by 2050¹⁵

    • Requirement to reduce emissions by 50% by 2030¹⁶

    • Requirement that all new buses procures for the state’s fleet be emission-free beginning in 2023¹⁷

    • Goal of 30% of all new medium- and heavy-duty vehicle sales to be zero-emission vehicles by 2030 and 100% of all new medium- and heavy-duty vehicle sales to be zero-emission by 2050¹⁸

    • 30% renewable power portfolio standard by 2030 and 100% renewable portfolio standard by 2050¹⁹

    • Goal of 30% of all new medium- and heavy-duty vehicle sales to be zero-emission vehicles by 2030 and 100% of all new medium- and heavy-duty vehicle sales to be zero-emission by 2050²⁰

Great Falls, Virginia

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The Opportunity in the DMV

Deploying hydrogen in the DMV region can abate almost 1.5% of regional carbon emissions in less than a decade, the equivalent of taking 700k cars off the road, with greater gains from 2030 and beyond. It also enables a connection to hydrogen efforts in neighboring regions to enhance collective impact.